Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Cheltenham
24.5%
Draw
44.5%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Cheltenham
vs
1.50
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).