Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Eastleigh
26.2%
Draw
33.0%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Eastleigh
vs
1.40
Sutton
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).