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AHT: 02CSV

04 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.3%
Livingston
27.7%
Draw
47.0%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Livingston

vs
1.48

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).