Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Walsall
25.0%
Draw
37.1%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Walsall
vs
1.32
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).