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10 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Rangers
28.8%
Draw
22.7%
Motherwell

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Rangers

vs
0.86

Motherwell

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).