Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Sp Gijon
26.5%
Draw
33.8%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Sp Gijon
vs
1.21
Granada
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).