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29 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
Bromley
22.8%
Draw
30.2%
Swindon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Bromley

vs
1.32

Swindon

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).