Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Colchester
29.0%
Draw
27.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Colchester
vs
0.87
Accrington
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).