Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Darmstadt
22.8%
Draw
18.0%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Darmstadt
vs
1.06
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).