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25 Apr 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Dynamo Makhachkala
28.0%
Draw
61.0%
Krasnodar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.51

Dynamo Makhachkala

vs
1.52

Krasnodar

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.8%
0-2
15.1%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
0-4
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
2-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).