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25 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.1%
Swansea
29.2%
Draw
34.6%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Swansea

vs
1.23

Norwich

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).