Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Famalicao
20.3%
Draw
12.2%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Famalicao
vs
0.63
Chaves
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).