Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Lugano
26.6%
Draw
29.0%
Holker Old Boys
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Lugano
vs
1.42
Holker Old Boys
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).