Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Paris FC
17.0%
Draw
14.6%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Paris FC
vs
0.93
Nimes
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).