Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Cardiff
17.9%
Draw
14.6%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Cardiff
vs
0.85
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).