Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Wrexham
20.0%
Draw
14.3%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Wrexham
vs
0.76
Accrington
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).