Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.3%
Sp Braga
7.5%
Draw
2.2%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
Sp Braga
vs
0.47
AVS
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
4-0
11.6%
5-0
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-1
3.7%
1-1
3.6%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).