Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Bristol Rvs
20.6%
Draw
48.4%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.91
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).