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AHT: 02CSV

24 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.2%
Airdrie Utd
21.2%
Draw
16.6%
Raith Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.03

Raith Rvs

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).