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AHT: 11CSV

27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.0%
Queens Park
22.3%
Draw
64.6%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Queens Park

vs
2.14

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).