Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Le Havre
25.4%
Draw
16.3%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Le Havre
vs
0.59
Amiens
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
2-0
13.5%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).