Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Gateshead
27.4%
Draw
44.9%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Gateshead
vs
1.53
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).