Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.5%
Dundee
15.4%
Draw
9.1%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Dundee
vs
1.01
Alloa
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.575.5%
Over 3.555.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
6.0%
4-0
6.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).