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03 Aug 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.3%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
12.0%
Draw
81.7%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

vs
2.97

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.9%
0-4
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
0-5
4.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).