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09 Nov 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.2%
AEK
15.4%
Draw
5.4%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

AEK

vs
0.51

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.6%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.1%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).