Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Preston
26.2%
Draw
47.4%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Preston
vs
1.66
Southampton
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).