Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Valladolid
25.7%
Draw
42.3%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Valladolid
vs
1.43
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).