Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.4%
Birmingham
14.4%
Draw
8.2%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Birmingham
vs
0.59
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).