Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Grimsby
27.1%
Draw
41.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Grimsby
vs
1.25
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).