Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Erzurum BB
29.1%
Draw
26.1%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Erzurum BB
vs
1.30
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).