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Dijon

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AHT: 01CSV

01 May 2016

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Dijon
22.4%
Draw
54.3%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Dijon

vs
1.67

Metz

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.6%
1-1
10.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).