Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Genoa
17.5%
Draw
13.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Genoa
vs
0.90
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).