Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Accrington
28.5%
Draw
41.2%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Accrington
vs
1.16
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).