Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Nice
20.0%
Draw
16.3%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Nice
vs
0.86
Clermont
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).