Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Dortmund
22.7%
Draw
12.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Dortmund
vs
0.72
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).