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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Stockport
33.6%
Draw
15.2%
1874 Northwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Stockport

vs
0.43

1874 Northwich

Markets

BTTS22.3%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.543.2%
Over 2.518.6%
Over 3.56.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
24.3%
0-0
22.5%
2-0
12.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
0-2
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-0
1.2%
2-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).