⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 00CSV

10 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.4%
Fleetwood Town
25.5%
Draw
37.2%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.20

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).