⚽ FootballData
0 – 3
AHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
56.9%
Cordoba
23.0%
Draw
20.1%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Cordoba

vs
0.95

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).