Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Boavista
24.8%
Draw
60.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Boavista
vs
1.74
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).