Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
QPR
27.7%
Draw
49.6%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
QPR
vs
1.54
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).