⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

05 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
5.8%
Ross County
17.7%
Draw
76.5%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.54

Ross County

vs
2.32

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.4%
0-1
12.2%
0-3
12.0%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
0-4
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
0-5
3.2%
2-2
2.2%
1-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).