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23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Grimsby
28.4%
Draw
26.1%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Grimsby

vs
1.05

Torquay

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).