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HHT: 10CSV

17 Dec 2023 · 13:00

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Alcorcon
34.6%
Draw
43.4%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Alcorcon

vs
0.97

Eibar

Markets

BTTS27.8%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.546.4%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.7%
0-1
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
0-4
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).