Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Zorya Luhansk
24.9%
Draw
16.4%
Inhulets
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Zorya Luhansk
vs
0.75
Inhulets
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).