Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Venezia
19.2%
Draw
9.8%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Venezia
vs
0.73
Perugia
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).