Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Boreham Wood
17.9%
Draw
20.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Boreham Wood
vs
1.41
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
3.3%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).