Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Southend
21.6%
Draw
13.6%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Southend
vs
0.85
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).