Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Werder Bremen
29.0%
Draw
40.2%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Werder Bremen
vs
1.33
Mainz
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).