Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Charlton
31.5%
Draw
22.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Charlton
vs
0.79
Reading
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).