Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Union Berlin
25.9%
Draw
19.6%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Union Berlin
vs
0.91
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).